Belgium and Egypt will meet in a World Cup pool play match on Monday, June 15, at 3:00 p.m. EST. The match will be played at Lumen Field in Seattle, Washington.
Belgium should cruise to a victory based on the Kalshi probabilities. They have a 61% chance to win, and even a draw is considered more likely than an Egypt victory.
Egypt is being traded at 17 cents, while the draw sits at a 24% probability.
Belgium is not viewed as a serious World Cup contender, but they received a favorable draw in their opening match. Let's dive into our Belgium vs. Egypt predictions for World Cup Group G.
Belgium vs. Egypt Prediction Market Probabilities
Belgium enters its first World Cup match as a heavy favorite against Egypt. The Belgians likely welcomed this matchup, as it presents a strong opportunity to begin the group stage with three points.
Of course, sizable favorites do not always win. As we've seen throughout the tournament, many expected victories have instead ended in draws.
Brazil and Morocco, as well as the Netherlands and Japan, both finished level despite heavily favoring one side.
I still expect Belgium to take care of business, and so do traders on Kalshi. A $10 trade on Belgium would pay out $15.95.
The return is not massive, but traders are heavily backing Belgium to win the match.
A $10 trade on Egypt would return $55.59, but I would not recommend that side of the market. If you're looking to take a chance on Egypt and believe they can stay competitive, a draw is the better option.
A $10 trade on the draw would pay $39.56, and we've already seen several quality teams get off to slow starts in the World Cup.
The last time these teams met was in a 2022 international friendly, when Egypt pulled off a surprising 2-1 victory.
Belgium
Belgium has the talent to upset some strong teams in this tournament if its top players perform at a high level. While our Belgium vs. Egypt predictions favor the Red Devils, they still need to show more consistency than they have in previous major tournaments.
Belgium's best World Cup finish was a third place result in 2018, and they still possess the high end talent to make another deep run.
Belgium was dominant in its international friendlies leading up to the World Cup. The offense was especially impressive, scoring five goals in two of its four matches.
The Belgians also posted a 3-0-1 record before the tournament, including a 5-2 victory over a talented American squad.
The player to watch is midfielder Kevin De Bruyne, who remains one of the best playmakers in the world.
He drives the attack and creates opportunities for strikers like Romelu Lukaku to finish in dangerous areas.
Egypt
Egypt should enter the World Cup with confidence. I don't think they have enough talent to make a deep run, but they have competed well in recent matches.
They also participated in the Africa Cup of Nations leading up to the World Cup, giving them experience in high pressure situations.
Egypt went 2-1-1 in its four international friendlies, with its lone loss coming against Brazil by a 2-1 score.
Considering Brazil is one of the strongest teams in the tournament, that result is more encouraging than it appears.
Egypt's best player is Mohamed Salah, who is widely considered the greatest Egyptian footballer of his generation. The Liverpool star remains the focal point of the attack.
He can create chances off the dribble, finish at a high level, and produce game changing moments in front of goal.
Omar Marmoush is another player to watch for Egypt. His experience playing at a high level in Europe should translate well to international competition.
Top Belgium vs. Egypt Player Markets
Belgium's top three goalscorers all carry similar scoring probabilities. Charles De Ketelaere has the highest chance to score at 27%.
He is followed by Jeremy Doku and Kevin De Bruyne, who both sit at 24%.
If I had to choose one player to score, I would take De Bruyne because of his ability to impact every aspect of the match and his leadership on the field.
Egypt could have difficulty finding the back of the net, as its attack has not been particularly explosive in recent friendlies.
If this match unfolds as expected, Belgium could score multiple goals.
Because of that, I would consider both goalscorer and assist markets involving Belgium players.
Belgium vs. Egypt Trade Handle Pick
Belgium produced several offensive outbursts during its international friendlies, and this matchup could set up similarly.
Egypt's defense has been solid, but Belgium should come out aggressive in its opening World Cup match in Seattle.
Even with the odds heavily favoring Belgium, this side is still worth considering. Belgium's top end talent gives it a significant advantage and should be enough to secure a comfortable victory.