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CFTC and DOJ Take Utah to Court Over Prediction Markets

Caleb Tallman
Caleb Tallman Editor in chief
10/27/2026
CFTC and DOJ Take Utah to Court Over Prediction Markets

The federal government isn't backing down from its fight with states over prediction markets. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Department of Justice have filed a lawsuit against Utah, arguing that the state lacks authority to block federally regulated event contracts. The October 26 filing puts the federal government directly against Utah Attorney General Derek Brown, who is already pursuing Kalshi in state court.

Utah's Fight With Kalshi Just Got Bigger

The latest lawsuit follows Utah's October 20 legal action against Kalshi and several related companies, including entities tied to Susquehanna. Brown argues that contracts involving sports, elections, politics, culture, and even specific words mentioned during speeches violate Utah law. His office wants those markets stopped and is seeking to recover money it claims the companies earned illegally.

The financial stakes aren't small, either. Utah estimates Kalshi collected between $30.59 million and $61.18 million in fees connected to activity by Utah accounts. Those figures are the state's estimates, not court-established damages, but they show how seriously Brown is approaching the case.

Washington Says Utah iIs Crossing the Line

The CFTC sees the situation very differently. Its argument comes down to one important question: Who gets to regulate contracts traded on federally registered exchanges? According to the federal complaint, Congress already answered that question through the Commodity Exchange Act.

CFTC Chairman Michael Selig said the agency must defend its authority over these markets. The government argues that letting Utah impose its own restrictions would disrupt a national regulatory system. It wants a federal judge to stop Utah from enforcing those restrictions against CFTC-regulated exchanges.

Specifically, the lawsuit requests:

  • A declaration that federal law overrides Utah's restrictions on covered contracts.
  • A preliminary and permanent injunction blocking state enforcement.
  • Protection for federally regulated exchanges and their related businesses.

Kalshi Already Faced Trouble in Utah

This dispute didn't begin last week. Kalshi sued Utah in February, hoping to prevent the state from restricting its contracts. In August, U.S. District Judge Robert Shelby rejected Kalshi's argument that federal law displaced Utah's restrictions, and the Tenth Circuit subsequently declined to block enforcement while the appeal continued.

Now the federal government has entered with its own lawsuit. That doesn't erase Kalshi's earlier setbacks, but it does create another legal fight over the same fundamental issue. For anyone following the industry, the federal-versus-state authority question is becoming impossible to ignore.

Utah Isn't the Only State Being Challenged

The CFTC has already brought similar actions involving nine other states. Those cases show that this isn't simply a disagreement between Kalshi and one attorney general. The regulator is making a broader effort to establish where its authority begins, and state enforcement powers end.

The federal complaint identifies earlier actions involving:

  • Arizona, Connecticut, and Illinois.
  • Kentucky, Minnesota, and New Mexico.
  • New York, Rhode Island, and Wisconsin.

Courts haven't handled every dispute the same way. Some have blocked state enforcement, while others have been more receptive to state authority. That leaves exchanges facing different legal conditions depending on where their customers live.

The Trade Handle Prediction Markets Take

What makes this case interesting is that the CFTC isn't merely defending Kalshi from the sidelines. The agency and DOJ are asking a court to protect federal oversight itself. That's a much bigger argument than whether one platform can offer contracts in Utah.

For traders, the outcome could affect which markets you can access and where. For exchanges, it could help determine whether they operate under one national framework or continue fighting restrictions state by state. Either way, Utah has become another important courtroom in the industry's ongoing regulatory fight.