England vs. Costa Rica prediction markets at industry leader Kalshi favor the Three Lions to snag a victory in their friendly match at Inter&Co Stadium in Orlando, Florida, on Wednesday afternoon.
England is a consensus third challenger for the World Cup — which will kick-off on Thursday — behind Spain and France. Costa Rica did not qualify for the World Cup and is using the match for international experience, not to prepare for the once-every-four-years tournament.
The match will be live streamed on Fubo and Apple TV in the U.S. and broadcast on ITV1 in the UK at 4:00 p.m. Eastern.
England vs. Costa Rica Prediction Market Probabilities
The latest England vs. Costa Rica prediction market data from Kalshi has England at an 86% likelihood of winning the match, to Costa Rica’s 6%. There are 12% odds of a draw.
The market sentiment has essentially remained consistent since opening. England maintained a range of probability from 84-87%, and Costa Rica was stuck between 4-10%.
England will use the match as a final test run before they begin competition in Group L, the last team in the competition to get into action, against Croatia, Ghana, and Panama. There are lofty expectations for England, whose only World Cup triumph came in 1966.
There aren’t any real implications for Costa Rica, which is due for a summer break after the match, though they will still be out to win.
England Preview
England secured a 1-0 win over New Zealand on the back of a Harry Kane stoppage-time goal at the end of the first half on Saturday. That ended a brief slump in form dating back to late-March, when they lost to Japan, 1-0, and drew with Uruguay, 1-1.
The loss to Japan was only the second time since Oct. 2024 that the Three Lions were defeated by their opponent. German manager Thomas Tuchel is a renowned cup competitor and produced a national record stretch of form after he was first appointed to the job, although he admitted that his side still “freestyled” too much during their win over New Zealand.
Right-winger Bukayo Saka is having his fitness closely monitored, although he is available for selection. The rest of Tuchel’s 26-man squad is fit and going through the final preparations for the World Cup, where their top-to-bottom balance of talent will be expected to make a run to the Final, if not win the competition.
Costa Rica Preview
Costa Rica was defeated by Colombia on June 1, 3-1, extending the country’s winless streak to five games. Their worst result during that time was a 5-0 defeat at the hands of Iran, which is far from a world power on the pitch.
There’s also drama inside the Costa Rica camp. Three players were dropped for a shooting incident that resulted in Alejandro Bran’s car being shot several times during an incident outside of a bar in Costa Rica.
Without finding creative ways to state the obvious, Costa Rica is outgunned in this matchup — pun intended. There’s a gulf in talent between the two nations, and the underdogs are in the middle of an extremely poor run of form. The loss of several regular members, along with the injury-induced absence of center-back Guillermo Villalobos, leaves them even more vulnerable than they already were.
England vs. Costa Rica Trade Handle Pick
A few days ago, we correctly encouraged our audience to take England in their match against New Zealand. The Trade Handle prediction market is even more clear this time, as we once again are riding with the Three Lions.
Tuchel is an intelligent manager who knows how to win cup matches, and this is the final opportunity for England to gain chemistry and confidence ahead of the most important days of the next four years. Our England vs. Costa Rica prediction is that England will win with a clean sheet against a team devoid of elite talent and that is dealing with several internal issues.